Oil prices hit two-month highs today on tight supply and easing concerns about the potential hit to demand from the Omicron coronavirus variant.
US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said yesterday the economy of the US, the world’s biggest oil consumer, should weather the current Covid-19 surge with only “short-lived” impacts and was ready for the start of tighter monetary policy.
Brent crude futures were up 42 cents, or 0.5%, at $84.14 a barrel today, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 60 cents, or 0.7%, to $81.82 a barrel.
Both contracts are set for their sixth session of gains out of eight.
Equities, which often move in tandem with oil prices, also ticked up, while a weaker dollar, making dollar-denominated oil contracts cheaper for holders of other currencies, also lent support.
The Brent contract is showing growing backwardation with front-month delivery around $4.20 more expensive than delivery in six months’ time, indicating tight supply currently.
OPEC+ oil producers continue to hold back more than 3 million barrels per day in output, while sanctions on Iran pin back its exports.
And though OPEC+ producers are raising their output targets each month, technical difficulties have prevented several countries from hitting their quotas.
“Assuming China doesn’t suffer a sharp slowdown, that Omicron actually becomes omi-gone, and with OPEC+’s ability to raise production clearly limited, I see no reason why Brent crude cannot move towards $100.00 in Q1, possibly sooner,” said Oanda analyst Jeffrey Halley.
“There are plenty of variable outcomes in the previous sentence, the biggest threat being Omicron in China, India, and Indonesia,” he added.
Meanwhile, European jet fuel refining margins are back to pre-pandemic levels as supplies in the region tighten and global aviation activity recovers.
US crude stocks fell by 1.1 million barrels for the week ended January 7, according to market sources citing figures from the American Petroleum Institute (API) industry group.
The US Energy Information Administration this week upgraded its oil demand outlook, seeing US demand rising by 840,000 bpd in 2022, up from a previous forecast for an increase of 700,000 bpd.
Credit: www.rte.ie – Source link